Global Governance The Digital Domain & The Death of Internet in 2022

Securing The Net: Global Governance in The Digital Domain was a White Paper written in September 2013. 

This report was produced within the framework of the Global Governance 2022 program, organized by the Global Public Policy Institute in Berlin, in collaboration with partner institutions in the United States (The Brookings Institution and Princeton University), China (Tsinghua University and Fudan University), and Germany (Hertie School of Governance). 

The Global Governance Futures Group symbiotic with the Global Public Policy Institute(GPPi) outlines Specific Methodologies and Scenarios on the Future of Cyber Risk and Governance. 

The 2013 Report Outlines The Following: 

"Could the Internet actually die? The path to this outcome might be precipitated by an inability to address growing mistrust, the continued existence and exploitation of major cyber vulnerabilities, and mass fear created by new kinds of cyber attacks. "

'SCENARIO 1: “CYBER DEATH” – THE END OF THE INTERNET AS WE KNOW IT'

  • an “incubation period” during which steadily growing Sino-American [CHINA-AMERICAN] tensions, an interstate cyber incident as well as the continued militarization of cyberspace led to a gradual disconnection of various sectors of critical infrastructure from the Internet;

  • ›  an “outbreak phase,” in which a “tsunami” of cyber crime led to a collapse of e-commerce and forced governments, overwhelmed by the volume of crime in cyberspace, to develop secure, parallel network architectures that conformed to national and regional boundaries;

  • ›  finally, the “passing of the ‘old’ Internet,” initiated by Russia, China, and Germany following a global panic during a brief period of “cyber terror.” 

    The collapse of e-commerce, which threw the global economy into a recession, was paired with a global run on banks. The lack of confidence in banks led to the withdrawal of private savings at record levels. This near-immediate global collapse of the financial system spurred governments to action.

              'SCENARIO 2: “CYBER PARADISE"

  • ›  bilateral and multilateral efforts between states that ultimately led to a General Agreement on Confidence Building in Cyberspace (GACBC);

  • ›  the diffusion and increased sophistication of cyber security systems/infrastructure, in particular advanced cryptographic and “electric fence” systems;

  • ›  and lastly, the creation of a regime centering around the International Cyber Security Treaty.

As the Internet was expanded further into all aspects of daily economic and social interactions, attention to the topic by politicians and the media continued to grow. Henceforth, a conference program was initiated that included not only the US and China but also the European Union, India, Russia, and Brazil. The discussions in this “cyber club” carried over to G20 meetings, as cyber security became a priority issue in national defense.
 

 

 

 As 2021 now Comes to an End we heard the Echos within IT to Safeguard our Legacy Industrial Control SystemsUpdating ICS and the Electrical Grid is Something a lot of us have been Harping on way before 2021. Unfortunately, either from State Sponsored Actors or from Political Mismanagement, Gov'ts tend to wait for something to break before addressing issues. Perhaps destruction and Order out of Chaos is the fix for these Policy Makers? The Great Reset now Comes to Mind when thinking about the Future of the Internet as we know it. The Cyber Trends for 2022 will Include Attacks on our Legacy ICS. 2022 Will See Cyber Attacks now becoming Physical. Cyber War will No longer only affect Data or IT Systems. 2022 will see the Age where a Cyber Attacks Could Result whether We have Power in the Winter to Gas Shortages across the country just like what we saw with the Colonial Pipe Line Hack. There will be More Ransomware Along with, IoT, Block Chain/Crypto Currency Wallet Attacks and Deepfakes will be in the headlines in 2022. The Push for a New Global Internet like our now Global Economy will be at the Forefront of all Nations and the UN in 2022. The Internet has already become a vastly different place from when I grew up with it in the 90's. We already saw the Great Social Media Purge of Dissenting voices in 2018. Will we allow the Internet to just become another Policy for Gov'ts to ruin and a Topic for Do-Nothing Politicians to Campaign and Pass Laws on? Or will we say Government Failures in Protecting ICS or Cyberspace & Political Overreach Should Not Equate to Censorship and the Monopolization of the Once Free Internet.

Lets Bullet Point Some Additional Reading on These Trends.

Biden Signs National Security Memo Addressing Industrial Control System Cybersecurity

White House: National Security Memorandum on Improving Cybersecurity for Critical Infrastructure Control Systems

Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency  [GLOBAL]

Cyber-Attack on world’s largest meat processor highlights food system vulnerabilities June 2021

MITRE Framework on ICS Jan.2020

NIST: SolarWinds and Beyond: Improving the Cybersecurity of Software Supply Chains May 2021

ICANN and The United Nations 


Industrial Control Systems Joint Working Group (ICSJWG)

 

-Sodaghar 11/12/21

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